The Flyweight champion, Demetrious Johnson (19-2-1) is the number 4 pound for found fighter in the UFC. He is coming in on a 5 fight win streak and this Saturday he will be on his fourth title defense. The last fight he lost was in the Bantamweight division, where he was defeated by Donimick Cruz in October of 2011. In his last four fights, Johnson has defeated number 1st, 2nd, 3rd, and 5th fighters in the rankings. This time he faces against the 4th best fighter in the weight class in Ali Bagautinov. (#4) Ali Bagautinov (13-2-0), is 3-0 in the UFC. Two of his wins came by decision and one came by a KO. His last fight was against John Lineker and he won by unanimous decision. The numbers for both of these fighters are very close. Johnson is just a little bit better than Bagautinov in most categories. I do expect a standing battle and this plays into Johnson’s hands with the power he has. Key number: 5, which how many more title fights Johnson has under his belt than Bagautinov. Prediction: Demetrious Johnson by KO. In the co-main event, (#2) Rory McDonald (16-2-0) faces off against (#3) Tyron Woodley (13-2-0) in the Welterweight division. McDonald is 7-2 in the UFC and is 4-1 in his last five. His last fight he beat Demian Maia by unaminious decision back in February, and before that he lost to the number one contender Robbie Lawler. Tyron Woodley is 3-1 in the UFC. His last fight he won against Carlos Condit. Condit tore his ACL and could not continue, even though Woodley was well on his way to winning that fight. Lawler vs Brown is the number one contender fight for this weight class unless one of these fighters can prove to Dana White that they deserve it more than Lawler or Brown. Key number: 91%, which is the average percentage of take-down defense for both fighters, which is remarkable. Prediction: Woodley by KO. (#9) Ryan Bader (17-4-0) fights against (#11) Rafael Cavalcante (12-4-0, 1 NC) in the Light Heavyweight division. This is a huge fight for these fighters, where the winner could get a top 5 opponent in their next bout. Bader is 9-4 in the UFC and is 3-2 in his last five. His last fight he won against Anthony Perish by unaminous decision. Bader was amazing and controlled every second of that fight. Cavalcante is 1-1 in the UFC since coming over from Strikefore. He won his last fight against Igor Pokrajac by submission. Key number: 2.02, which is how many more significiant strikes per minute Calalcante takes more than Bader. Prediction: Bader by KO. Andrei Arlovski (21-10-0, 1 NC) comes back to the UFC after fighting for other promotions. He last fought in the UFC 4 years ago and has a record of 10-4 with the
organization. He has always been a fan favoirite. His first fight back will be in the Heavyweight divison against (#14) Brendan Schaub (11-3-0). Schaub is 6-3 in the UFC and is 3-2 in this last 5 fights. He won his last fight by D’arce choke against Matt Mitrione last September. Key number: 4, which is how many years it has been since Arlovski has faced top level competition. Prediction: Brendan Schaub by decision. (#12) Ovince Saint Preux (15-5-0) faces off against Ryan Jimmo (19-3-0) in the Light Heavyweight division. Saint Preux is 3-0 in the UFC and won his last fight against Nikita Krylov by a Von Flue choke. Jimmo is 3-2 in the UFC. He won he last fight against Sean O’Connell by a KO. Key number: 8:45, which is the average fight time for both fighters. I do not see how this fight goes to a decision. Prediction: Saint Preux by KO. This main card is on ppv and will be worth watching. It is one of the very few cards where most of the match-ups are really close and could easily go the other way.